back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. now, in 2000 al gore said don't believe the polls. polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasional unpaid communications advisor for the romney campaign. also pollster 2012 cornell belcher and our own john king. so, ari, i do not hear republicans complaining, you know, a few months ago when mitt romney seemed up in these polls. >> well, anderson, here's what i think you have to do, and i don't think it's conspiracy, but i think you have to apply a commonsense test. here's what we know. the last time there was a major election in 2012, we had an exit poll in the state of wisconsin that was wrong. it showed the race was going to be n